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Global Grain, Oilseed, and Vegetable Oil Market Report - June 24, 2026

12 items4 topics60 sources

Global Grain, Oilseed, and Vegetable Oil Market Report - June 24, 2026

🔎 Key signals

• Wheat prices declined sharply on Tuesday with contracts down over 2%, pressured by ongoing selling and weak demand.

• Corn futures edged lower amid fund selling and a market mindset favoring rain-driven crop improvements.

• Soybeans showed mixed performance with modest gains supported by light technical buying.

• Russian suspension of participation in the Black Sea Grain Initiative continues to disrupt Ukrainian grain and oilseed exports, impacting global flows.

• Brazil faces production challenges for 2027 crops due to low prices, high fertilizer costs, credit issues, and potential El Niño weather impacts.

🌽 Grains

• Paris Matif September wheat futures slipped €1.25, with Russian cash wheat prices falling $2 to $234.25 per ton.

• U.S. winter wheat prices continue a downward trend since mid-May, pressured by weak export demand and ample global supplies.

• U.S. corn crop conditions remain steady with 68% rated good to excellent; 97% of the crop has emerged and 5% is at silking stage.

• Global corn exports forecast for 2026/27 show Brazil expected to export 25.7 million tons, down from prior estimates; Argentina and Ukraine also show reduced export projections.

🌱 Oilseeds and vegetable oils

• Soybean futures were mixed with nearby contracts up slightly while deferred months declined, reflecting cautious market sentiment ahead of upcoming USDA acreage reports.

• Ukraine’s sunflower oil export prospects remain pressured by logistical challenges and Russian strikes on key Black Sea ports.

• Russia has resumed rapeseed oil exports to Afghanistan, indicating some recovery in trade flows.

• Iowa Soybean Association notes a shift in export demand from whole beans toward increased soybean meal exports.

🚢 Logistics and freight

• Black Sea grain export disruptions persist due to Russian military actions and suspension of the Black Sea Grain Initiative, severely limiting Ukrainian shipments through Odesa and other ports.

• Danube River ports offer limited alternative export capacity, constrained to about 600,000 tons monthly.

• Sunflower cake and soybean meal bids remain active in Mediterranean and East Coast India ports, reflecting ongoing regional trade flows.

🌦 Crop weather and production

• Scattered rains returned to parts of the U.S. Corn Belt with temperatures near seasonal norms, supporting corn and soybean development.

• Brazil’s 2027 crop outlook is challenged by potential El Niño effects, high input costs, and credit constraints, which may limit production growth.

⚖️ Trade policy and demand

• Ukraine will not impose wheat export restrictions for the 2025/26 season despite price pressures, aiming to capitalize on a higher harvest and export potential.

• Global corn export forecasts for 2026/27 show downward revisions for Brazil and Argentina, while Ukraine and Russia maintain modest export volumes.

🌍 Regional notes

• Ukraine’s wheat market enters 2026/27 with strong export potential despite price challenges, supported by large carry-in stocks and expectations of a good Black Sea crop.

• Russian strikes on Odesa ports threaten Ukraine’s grain export capacity, with significant damage to export terminals reported.

• Kazakhstan increases grain raw material exports to Uzbekistan, reflecting regional trade dynamics.

• South American harvest progress is being closely monitored amid mixed weather and acreage uncertainty.

Desk Snapshot

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Items

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Topics

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Pulse

Logistics

10

Freight, ports and execution

Markets

10

Price tone, futures and basis

Trade

10

Demand, exports and tenders

Topic clusters

4 clusters

Logistics

9

Freight, ports and execution

Markets

5

Price tone, futures and basis

Trade

5

Demand, exports and tenders

Policy

1

Regulation, tariffs and macro context

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