1D3X Daily Market Report - June 22, 2026
12 items4 topics60 sources1D3X Daily Market Report - June 22, 2026
🔎 Key signals
• U.S. wheat export inspections increased last week, driven by strong demand from the Philippines early in the 2026/27 marketing year.
• Ukraine's grain exports declined 12% in 2025/26 due to port disruptions and Russian attacks, despite rising production and stockpiles.
• Global rapeseed trade sees slight growth with increased exports from Moldova and higher crush in Ukraine, while EU stocks tighten.
• Soybean ending stocks for 2026/27 are forecast higher, supported by increased production in Argentina.
• Ocean freight costs for Ukrainian wheat shipments to Egypt and Indonesia fell significantly in 2024 versus 2023, lowering total transport costs by 10-33%.
🌽 Grains
• CBOT wheat futures showed mixed activity with recent settlements reflecting ongoing global supply concerns.
• Algeria purchased 29.4 million bushels of milling wheat from optional origins, likely sourced from the EU or Black Sea region for July-October shipment.
• U.S. wheat exports are forecast down 135 million bushels year-over-year due to smaller domestic crops and competitive global supplies.
• Corn futures recently gained, reaching the highest close since early June amid supportive weather and demand signals.
🌱 Oilseeds and vegetable oils
• Global rapeseed crush is up, mainly driven by Ukraine, while EU rapeseed ending stocks are reduced, tightening supply.
• Soybean prices softened after reaching two-week highs, pressured by weaker crude oil and soybean oil markets.
• Ukraine remains a key global sunflower oil exporter, but export disruptions continue due to port blockades and attacks.
🚢 Logistics and freight
• Black Sea grain freight rates remain stable but cargo volumes are insufficient to push rates higher, supported by firmer Western Mediterranean demand.
• Ukrainian grain export logistics face challenges from Russian missile strikes on ports, forcing reliance on alternative routes with bottlenecks.
• Transport costs for Ukrainian wheat to Egypt and Indonesia dropped notably in 2024, driven by lower rail and ocean freight expenses.
• Over 20 million tons of Ukrainian agricultural products were exported through sea ports recently, underscoring the ports' critical role despite ongoing conflict.
🌦 Crop weather and production
• West-central Minnesota farmers report favorable weather conditions supporting corn, soybean, sugarbeet, and alfalfa crops.
• Ukraine's wheat and corn production exceeded expectations despite wartime challenges, contributing to growing stockpiles.
⚖️ Trade policy and demand
• Ukraine's grain export volumes are pressured by intensified Russian attacks on port infrastructure, complicating global supply chains.
• Discussions continue on resuming Black Sea grain export corridors, but alternative export routes remain constrained by logistical bottlenecks.
• Algeria's recent wheat tender reflects sustained demand for Black Sea and EU-origin grains in the Mediterranean region.
🌍 Regional notes
• European Union faces tighter rapeseed stocks amid increased crush demand and export activity from neighboring Moldova.
• Argentina's soybean production rise supports a larger global carryover, influencing international soybean stock forecasts.
• Ukraine's export challenges persist with significant declines in wheat, barley, rye, corn, and flour shipments due to port disruptions.
